Industry Leaders Pose Questions and Answers about Future Drug Development

Patrick Young July 2010, Volume 1, Issue 2

Should the pharmaceutical industry continue its current path of largely developing drugs that add only incremental increases in efficacy, or more aggressively develop and tap knowledge of disease processes to create medications that have a dramatic impact?

"I'm in favor of a clinical development approach where hypotheses are derived directly from an understanding of the pathogenesis of the disease, and a strong hypothesis leading into clinical trials means a much lower risk of failure," said William R. Sellers, MD, Global Head of the Novartis Institutes for Biomedical Research, at a Special Session of the American Association for Cancer Research (AACR) Annual Meeting, held in Washington, DC.

Presentations at the Joint AACR/ASCO Forum made clear that 21st century drug development will likely undergo major changes, including in clinical trials.

Five Challenges

Dr. Sellers cited five major difficulties with targeting genetic alterations in cancer:

  1. Most genetic alterations in cancer remain untreatable with drugs, including genetic alterations in the ras and myc oncogenes. "The pharmaceutical and academic communities will need to tackle the problem of drugging these hard targets," Dr. Sellers said.
  2. A large number of genetic alterations occur in tumor suppressor genes. There is a need to understand the interactions between suppresser pathways and druggable nodes.
  3. Feedback loops can result in unanticipated signaling activation.
  4. Cancers often have multiple pathways disrupted. Problems 3 and 4 need innovative approaches to identifying and developing novel drug combinations, Dr. Sellers noted.
  5. Stratifying patients in clinical trials based on an understanding of the target cancer's pathogenesis needs improvement. "The trial logistics of that have been incredibly hard, either from the perspective of getting biopsies or simply executing the clinical trials in which you have to screen huge numbers of patients to enroll a minor fraction," Dr. Sellers said.

David P. Schenkein, MD, CEO of Agios Pharmaceuticals, addressed the problems of failing to stratify patients well.

"One consequence-in addition to perhaps keeping us in a mode of incrementalism as opposed to making transformative effects with our drugs-is whether we are actually throwing away important drugs," Dr. Schenkein said. He cited a simulation study that suggested that without stratification in Herceptin [trastuzumab] trials, the drug's benefits would have been missed. "Drugs currently failing phase III studies and thrown away could potentially have been transformative drugs if they had been subjected to the right patient populations," he added.

Five Proposed Solutions

Dr. Schenkein offered five possible solutions:

  1. Gain a deeper understanding of the pathway interactions that drive cancer tumors, because an effective drug needs to match a cancer's genetic profile.
  2. Provide the same incentives and investments to the discovery of diagnostics and biomarkers that are applied to discovering the drug itself. Discovering the biomarkers at the time the drug is discovered is essential.
  3. Change the clinical trial paradigm. Phase I trials need to become more adaptive in design to test a variety of biomarkers and perhaps imaging questions. That is happening more and more in industry and academia, Dr. Schenkein said.
  4. Drug developers must work with the FDA to support adaptive designs that will enable testing of biomarkers in phase I, validation in phase II, and approval after a successful phase III study. "Early clinical trials are going to have to be longer and more expensive, and we all are going to have to agree to that," Dr. Schenkein said.
  5. Industry and academia need to demand more important treatment effects-which will dictate smaller treatment populations-and accept nothing less.

Laurence H. Baker, DO, of the University of Michigan, President of the Southwest Oncology Group, said an internal review found SWOG needed to improve clinical trial designs and operation efficiencies, and develop new partnerships.

This includes, for example, rethinking the definitions of clinical benefit and progression-free survival (PFS) as endpoints. "We clearly need to be more efficient," he added.

At the AACR meeting, Dr. Baker questioned the response evaluation criteria in solid tumors (RECIST) definition of stable disease (and, therefore, PFS). These criteria are "too permissive, allowing companies to compare a new agent to a placebo and demonstrating statistical difference but not clinical benefit," Dr. Baker told The ASCO Post. For example, he noted, the many drugs recently approved for metastatic renal cancer were evaluated using such a design. "Now, some countries are not allowing use of some of these agents because the costs are great and the benefit very small. In other words, there is insufficient clinical benefit," he said. ■

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